Dan Whitfield discusses the similarities between David Cameron and Mitt Romney - and how this spells bad news for Cameron:
After Mitt
Romney, the Republican nominee for President was defeated last November, British
political prognosticators predicted that the result was a good omen for David
Cameron and a warning for his opposite number on the Labour benches, Ed
Miliband.
They are wrong.
It’s easy to see
why the experts made such a mistake. After
all, President Obama won reelection with unemployment hovering at 8% -
something no occupant of the White House has ever done before (the closest was
Ronald Reagan, who was reelected in 1984 with unemployment at 7.2%). Obama won in spite of the gridlock paralyzing
Washington (for which he is largely responsible), contempt for politicians at
record levels, and smoldering resentment over his reform of the American
healthcare system.
President Obama
also won despite his opponent, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney,
effectively stealing the mantle of change.
Such
similarities to the political situation in the UK will not have gone unnoticed
by Tory High Command. That's why, on the
surface, President Obama's reelection is delightful news for Cameron. Even now, perhaps, advice is being poured
into the Prime Minister's ear, urging him to follow the path blazed by the
President. To win a reelection campaign
of his own, all David Cameron need do is remind voters of the mess he
inherited, emphasize the indicators which point to an economic recovery, and expose
his opponents glaring shortcomings.
Follow the Obama recipe, and another 5 years in Downing Street beckon.
But a close look
at exit polling should have Conservatives nervous. It shows that Mitt Romney lost for exactly
the same reasons that have damaged British Tories generally, and David Cameron
in particular.